Numbers & thoughts on seeding game 3 “at” Miami
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| AP Photo/Lynne Sladky |
“Live by the three, die by the three!” seems to have become the mantra of a league in which taking two out of every five shots from behind the arc has become the norm. (2,353 of the exactly 5,600 FGA’s during the 33 scrimmage games were treys, a usage rate of .420 – NBA 3PAr when play was interrupted registered at .382.)
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| Kim Klement/Pool Photo via AP |
Another disturbing “consistency” – and a reversal of the season-long pattern – is the opposition scoring off Celtic Turnovers, 21.7 points per game. That’s an increase of more than SEVEN points per game from the season-proper.
Maybe the players were lulled to sleep by a Q3 in which a whopping 13 of 49 total possessions concluded with a trip to the foul line ... a message to Mr. Smart, perhaps?
BOSTON 106
FG: C’s – 37-85, .435
3FG: C’s – 10-33, .303
FT: C’s – 22-27, .815 [12 conversions]
TS%: C’s – .547
OR: C’s – 14 + 4 (team) [minus 1 FT rebound]
DR: C’s – 31 + 3 (team) [minus 4 FT rebounds]
TO: C’s – 16 + 0 (team)
Poss: C’s – 95 {46 “Empty”}
PPP: C’s – 1.116
CV%: C’s – 49 / 95, .516
Stripes: C’s – 5 [2.5 conversions]
Adjusted CV%: C’s – 51.5 / 95, .542 {expected production, 103 points}
MIAMI 112
FG: Mia – 34-77, .442
3FG: Mia – 15-43, .349
FT: Mia – 29-39, .744 [17 conversions]
TS%: Mia – .595
OR: Mia – 12 + 1 (team) [minus 1 FT rebound]
DR: Mia – 30 + 1 (team) [minus 1 FT rebound]
TO: Mia – 12 + 1 (team)
Poss: Mia – 94 {43 “Empty”}
PPP: Mia – 1.191
CV%: Mia – 51 / 94, .543
Stripes: Mia – 5 [2.5 conversions]
Adjusted CV%: Mia – 53.5 / 94, .569 {expected production, 107 points}
Note re Calculation & Notation:
The number of “possessions” is an accurate count, not a formula-based estimated value. For purposes of clarity, the bracketed digit following the FT% is the exact count of “conversions” represented by those FTA’s.
“Possessions” calculation: FGA’s + FT conversions + TO’s – OR’s (including Team OR’s) – FT OR’s
“Conversions” calculation: FG’s + FT conversions
“Stripes” calculation: 3FG’s – missed FTA’s
TS% = True Shooting Percentage
PPP = Points per Possession
Abacus Revelation for the Road
Maybe it’s just me, but…
… doesn’t Zion Williamson, his physical gifts and “grooming” notwithstanding, look like a dude who has not played a whole lot of real, competitive basketball?
