The Algebra of a Weird Win: Battle scars earned on the road to contention
Coach Brad Stevens's depleted troops shot exactly .200 from the field for a full quarter of play yesterday; n’ary a one of them got credited with an offensive rebound during that 12 minutes.
The Bucks, on the other hand, found bottom on all but three of their Q4 FG attempts. Milwaukee converted 11 of their last 12 possessions in regulation time.
And the Celtics still manage to win ???
Summative Equation:
Bos – 52 Conversions + [+8 “Stripes”] {11 treys “minus” 3 missed FT’s “equals” 8 stripes}
Mil – 51 Conversions + [+3 “Stripes”] {8 treys “minus” 5 missed FT’s “equals” 3 stripes}
Expected Outcome -- +1 Conversion + [+5 Stripes] = C’s win by 7 points
Actual Score: Boston 113, Milwaukee 107
The Algebra of the Game
1st Quarter
FG: C’s – 13 - 24, .542 / Mil – 7 - 15, .467
3FG: C’s – 1 - 4, .250 / Mil – 1-2, .500
FT: C’s – 2 - 3, .667 [1] / Mil – 2-2, 1.000 [1]
TO: C’s – 2 / Mil – 8
OR: C’s – 3 + 1 (team) / Mil – 0 + 1 (team)
Poss: C’s – 23 / Mil – 23
CV%: C’s – 14 / 23, .609 / Mil – 8 / 23, .348
2nd Quarter
FG: C’s – 4 - 20, .200 / Mil – 12 - 24, .500
3FG: C’s – 1 - 7, .143 / Mil – 2 - 6, .333
FT: C’s – 6 - 6, 1.000 [3] / Mil – 4 - 5, .800 [2]
TO: C’s – 5 / Mil – 2
OR: C’s – 0 + 2 (team) / Mil – 1 + 0 (team)
Poss: C’s – 26 / Mil – 27
CV%: C’s – 7 / 26, .269 / Mil – 14 / 27, .519
3rd Quarter
FG: C’s – 9 - 21, .556 / Mil – 8 - 19, .421
3FG: C’s – 4 - 7, .571 / Mil – 2 - 3, .667
FT: C’s – 4 - 4, 1.000 [2] / Mil – 1 - 1, 1.000 [0]
TO: C’s – 3 / Mil – 6
OR: C’s – 3 + 1 (team) / Mil – 1 + 1 (team)
Poss: C’s – 22 / Mil – 23
CV%: C’s – 11 / 22, .500 / Mil – 8 / 23, .348
4th Quarter
FG: C’s – 10 - 23, .435 / Mil – 10 - 13, .769
3FG: C’s – 4 - 6, .667 / Mil – 3 - 5, .600
FT: C’s – 5 - 6, .833 [3] / Mil – 10 - 12, .833 [6]
TO: C’s – 2 / Mil – 4
OR: C’s – 4 + 1 (team) / Mil – 0 + 0 (team)
Poss: C’s – 23 / Mil – 23
CV%: C’s – 13 / 23, .565 / Mil – 16 / 23, .696
Overtime
FG: C’s – 3 - 6, .500 / Mil – 3 - 12, .250
3FG: C’s – 1 - 2, .500 / Mil – 0 - 5, .000
FT: C’s – 7 - 8, .875 [4] / Mil – 2 - 4, .500 [2]
TO: C’s – 3 / Mil – 0
OR: C’s – 1 + 1 (team) / Mil – 3 + 0 (team)
Poss: C’s – 11 / Mil – 11
CV%: C’s – 7 / 11, .636 / Mil – 5 / 11, .455
Full Game
FG: C’s – 39 - 94, .415 / Mil – 40 - 83, .482
3FG: C’s – 11 - 26, .423 / Mil – 8 - 21, .381
FT: C’s – 24 - 27, .889 [13] / Mil – 19 - 24, .792 [11]
TO: C’s – 15 / Mil – 20
OR: C’s – 11 + 6 (team) / Mil – 5 + 2 (team)
Poss: C’s – 105 / Mil – 107
CV%: C’s – 52 / 105, .495 / Mil – 51 / 107, .477
Note re Calculations:
The number of “possessions” is an accurate count, not a formula-based estimated value.
For purposes of clarity, the bracketed digit following the FT% is the exact count of “conversions” represented by those FTA’s.
“Possessions” calculation: FGA’s + FT conversions + TO’s – OR’s (including Team OR’s)
“Conversions” calculation: FG’s + FT conversions
Abacus Revelation for the Road
RIP Hal Greer
Though most well-known in Celtic circles for an infamous pass, Hall of Famer Greer was an Eastern Division All-Star for 10 consecutive seasons.
Sweet Victory requires a worthy foe -- Hal Greer fit that bill, and then some.
images: nydailynews, daily mirror, masslive, getty images
The Bucks, on the other hand, found bottom on all but three of their Q4 FG attempts. Milwaukee converted 11 of their last 12 possessions in regulation time.
And the Celtics still manage to win ???
Summative Equation:
Bos – 52 Conversions + [+8 “Stripes”] {11 treys “minus” 3 missed FT’s “equals” 8 stripes}
Mil – 51 Conversions + [+3 “Stripes”] {8 treys “minus” 5 missed FT’s “equals” 3 stripes}
Expected Outcome -- +1 Conversion + [+5 Stripes] = C’s win by 7 points
Actual Score: Boston 113, Milwaukee 107
The Algebra of the Game
1st Quarter
FG: C’s – 13 - 24, .542 / Mil – 7 - 15, .467
3FG: C’s – 1 - 4, .250 / Mil – 1-2, .500
FT: C’s – 2 - 3, .667 [1] / Mil – 2-2, 1.000 [1]
TO: C’s – 2 / Mil – 8
OR: C’s – 3 + 1 (team) / Mil – 0 + 1 (team)
Poss: C’s – 23 / Mil – 23
CV%: C’s – 14 / 23, .609 / Mil – 8 / 23, .348
2nd Quarter
FG: C’s – 4 - 20, .200 / Mil – 12 - 24, .500
3FG: C’s – 1 - 7, .143 / Mil – 2 - 6, .333
FT: C’s – 6 - 6, 1.000 [3] / Mil – 4 - 5, .800 [2]
TO: C’s – 5 / Mil – 2
OR: C’s – 0 + 2 (team) / Mil – 1 + 0 (team)
Poss: C’s – 26 / Mil – 27
CV%: C’s – 7 / 26, .269 / Mil – 14 / 27, .519
3rd Quarter
FG: C’s – 9 - 21, .556 / Mil – 8 - 19, .421
3FG: C’s – 4 - 7, .571 / Mil – 2 - 3, .667
FT: C’s – 4 - 4, 1.000 [2] / Mil – 1 - 1, 1.000 [0]
TO: C’s – 3 / Mil – 6
OR: C’s – 3 + 1 (team) / Mil – 1 + 1 (team)
Poss: C’s – 22 / Mil – 23
CV%: C’s – 11 / 22, .500 / Mil – 8 / 23, .348
4th Quarter
FG: C’s – 10 - 23, .435 / Mil – 10 - 13, .769
3FG: C’s – 4 - 6, .667 / Mil – 3 - 5, .600
FT: C’s – 5 - 6, .833 [3] / Mil – 10 - 12, .833 [6]
TO: C’s – 2 / Mil – 4
OR: C’s – 4 + 1 (team) / Mil – 0 + 0 (team)
Poss: C’s – 23 / Mil – 23
CV%: C’s – 13 / 23, .565 / Mil – 16 / 23, .696
Overtime
FG: C’s – 3 - 6, .500 / Mil – 3 - 12, .250
3FG: C’s – 1 - 2, .500 / Mil – 0 - 5, .000
FT: C’s – 7 - 8, .875 [4] / Mil – 2 - 4, .500 [2]
TO: C’s – 3 / Mil – 0
OR: C’s – 1 + 1 (team) / Mil – 3 + 0 (team)
Poss: C’s – 11 / Mil – 11
CV%: C’s – 7 / 11, .636 / Mil – 5 / 11, .455
Full Game
FG: C’s – 39 - 94, .415 / Mil – 40 - 83, .482
3FG: C’s – 11 - 26, .423 / Mil – 8 - 21, .381
FT: C’s – 24 - 27, .889 [13] / Mil – 19 - 24, .792 [11]
TO: C’s – 15 / Mil – 20
OR: C’s – 11 + 6 (team) / Mil – 5 + 2 (team)
Poss: C’s – 105 / Mil – 107
CV%: C’s – 52 / 105, .495 / Mil – 51 / 107, .477
Note re Calculations:
The number of “possessions” is an accurate count, not a formula-based estimated value.
For purposes of clarity, the bracketed digit following the FT% is the exact count of “conversions” represented by those FTA’s.
“Possessions” calculation: FGA’s + FT conversions + TO’s – OR’s (including Team OR’s)
“Conversions” calculation: FG’s + FT conversions
Abacus Revelation for the Road
RIP Hal Greer
Though most well-known in Celtic circles for an infamous pass, Hall of Famer Greer was an Eastern Division All-Star for 10 consecutive seasons.
Sweet Victory requires a worthy foe -- Hal Greer fit that bill, and then some.
images: nydailynews, daily mirror, masslive, getty images