NBA Week 3 in Proportion: Old School, Home Cookin’, Makes & Misses

Peter Southwick, Associated Press
Who would dare have thunk it?

Both the Celtics and the Lakers sitting atop the NBA’s Eastern and Western Conference standings a full three weeks into the season – despite having tasted defeat on opening-night against a bitter rival? (The Vogel group did hit a sour note Sunday vs. the reigning-and-defendings.)

What year is this??

The Lakers’ Sabbath Setback at Staples was but one of 24 losses suffered by home teams during NBA “Playing Week” 3 – against only 25 wins, barely .500.

Through 21 days and the first 145 games (i.e. thru Monday), Home Teams are 81 – 64 (.559) – they’ve also won six of the 10 tilts that have extended to Overtime.

Make or Miss?

The team with more three-point MAKES is 72 – 60 – 13 (.545).

The team with fewer free-throw MISSES is 69 – 61– 15 (.531).

The team that earns more STRIPES is 74 – 60 – 11 (.552).

Ruling the Arc

In each of the past two regular seasons, Boston has ranked in the Top Ten both offensively and defensively when it comes to 3FG%. In a league where usage of the Trey has grown in leaps and bounds over the past decade, such a statistical showing all but guarantees a spot in the post-season.

Photo/Lynne Sladky
After 21 dates, six squads currently reside in this neighborhood (Off. Rank, Def. Rank): Miami (No. 6, No. 1); Oklahoma City (No. 7, No. 2); Utah (No. 4, No. 5); Toronto (No. 2, No. 10); Portland (No. 9, No. 7); and Boston (No. 10, No. 8).

On the other end of the spectrum? Minnesota (No. 28, No. 30), Golden State (No. 22, No. 29) and Houston (No. 21, No. 23).


Week 3 for the Green Team


Boston -478

FG: C’s – 177-358, .494
3FG: C’s – 51-135, .378
FT: C’s – 73-91, .802 [37 conversions]
TS%: C’s – .600
OR: C’s – 32 + 7 (team) [minus 0 FT rebounds]
DR: C’s – 154 + 8 (team) [minus 9 FT rebounds]
TO: C’s – 43 + 2 (team)
Poss: C’s – 401 {187 “Empty”}
PPP: C’s – 1.192
CV%: C’s – 214 conversions / 401 possessions, .534
Stripes: C’s – +33 [+16.5 conversions]
Adjusted CV%: C’s – 230.5 conversions / 401, .575 {expected production, 461 points}


Opponent- 421

FG: Opp – 149-369, .404
3FG: Opp – 44-136, .324
FT: Opp – 79-101, .782 [42 conversions]
TS%: Opp – .509
OR: Opp – 54 + 11 (team) [minus 1 FT rebound]
DR: Opp – 195 + 10 (team) [minus 10 FT rebounds]
TO: Opp – 50 + 3 (team)
Poss: Opp – 399 {208 “Empty”}
PPP: Opp – 1.055
CV%: Opp – 191 conversions / 399 possessions, .479
Stripes: Opp – +22 [+11 conversions]
Adjusted CV%: Opp – 202 conversions / 399 possessions, .506 {expected production, 404 points}


Note re Calculation & Notation:

The number of “possessions” is an accurate count, not a formula-based estimated value. For purposes of clarity, the bracketed digit following the FT% is the exact count of “conversions” represented by those FTA’s.

“Possessions” calculation: FGA’s + FT conversions + TO’s – OR’s (including Team OR’s) – FT OR’s

“Conversions” calculation: FG’s + FT conversions

“Stripes” calculation: 3FG’s – missed FTA’s

TS% = True Shooting Percentage

PPP = Points per Possession

CV% = Conversion Percentage


Abacus Revelation for the Road

On the basis of what I assume is legitimate statistical data (i.e. basketball-reference.com), the Celtics Pace of Play “computes” to 101.1 possessions, No. 18 in the loop.

I’ve meticulously counted the C’s for 906 possessions (100.7 per game), the other guys for 901 (100.1 per game).

Just askin’ – should it count as a possession if a team is unable to get off a shot before time expires at the end of a quarter of play?

Sometimes it’s clearly an offensive blunder – or just outstanding defense …

… other times getting off any attempt at the goal is almost miraculous.

Maybe it should be a judgment call, like whether or not to award an assist on a given play ??